Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.6%). Look for Lazar on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs McTavish 48.7% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Lazar leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 51.8%
Defensive zone
Lazar 87.3%
Neutral zone
Lazar 63.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Lazar
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Lazar
McTavish
Last 10: Lazar 8-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
6
1
Lazar
McTavish
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
48.2% (2,788)
+2.0%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
52.6% (435)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
34.3% (35)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Lazar
McTavish
Home
50.1% (1,542)
49.8% (1,678)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
47.4% (1,580)
By Period
Lazar
McTavish
P1
48.9%
50.0%
P2
48.9%
47.8%
P3
49.5%
48.4%
OT
56.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 05:53 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 03:09 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |