Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 50.7%). Lazar wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs McTavish 50.6% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 60.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 79.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 52.0%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Lazar
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lazar
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
51.1% (769)
+0.3%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
50.6% (178)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
28.6% (14)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Lazar shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Lazar
McTavish
Home
49.7% (163)
52.3% (461)
Away
52.3% (237)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Lazar
McTavish
P1
46.9%
51.5%
P2
53.3%
54.0%
P3
53.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |