Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.3% vs Barzal 44.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 60.7%
Defensive zone
Lazar 86.9%
Neutral zone
Lazar 80.8%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Lazar
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lazar
Barzal
Last 6: Lazar 4-2 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
Barzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (272)
43.3% (314)
+6.3%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
45.5% (33)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
33.3% (3)
+3.5%
On power play, Lazar has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Lazar is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Lazar shoots right. Barzal is 37.7% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Home / Away
Lazar
Barzal
Home
47.8% (157)
39.9% (168)
Away
47.8% (178)
46.7% (182)
By Period
Lazar
Barzal
P1
41.7%
39.0%
P2
50.8%
49.1%
P3
50.0%
43.3%
OT
75.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
30.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
47.8%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |