Curtis Lazar vs Mathew Barzal

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Curtis Lazar holds a +19.0% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Lazar 55.9% vs Barzal 41.4% (+19.0%)
Offensive zone Barzal 72.6%
Defensive zone Lazar 83.3%
Neutral zone Lazar 50.6%
Result Curtis Lazar favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Lazar Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Lazar
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
60.4% (139)
40.4% (456)
+20.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
34.2% (38)
-34.2%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (66)
28.6% (7)
+27.5%
On power play, Barzal has a +34.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Lazar is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Lazar shoots right. Barzal is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Lazar
Barzal
Home
63.0% (127)
38.0% (242)
Away
51.9% (79)
41.3% (259)
By Period
Lazar
Barzal
P1
60.6%
46.6%
P2
59.7%
35.4%
P3
55.6%
38.0%
Final 5 min
67.3%
40.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%
58.5%
58.7%
Barzal
40.0%
44.5%
39.7%