Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Barzal 46.9% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 82.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 72.2%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.7%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Lazar
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
46.6% (483)
+4.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
40.9% (22)
-40.9%
On power play, Barzal has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Lazar is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Lazar shoots right. Barzal is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Lazar
Barzal
Home
43.5% (131)
49.6% (242)
Away
53.7% (147)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Lazar
Barzal
P1
53.8%
42.4%
P2
50.5%
49.5%
P3
41.2%
47.7%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.9%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
46.3%