Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 50.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Backlund 50.8% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 56.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 65.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Lazar
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lazar
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Lazar
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
51.9% (1,083)
+1.0%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
51.7% (120)
+48.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
44.3% (183)
-11.0%
On power play, Lazar has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Lazar shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Lazar
Backlund
Home
57.1% (119)
51.9% (673)
Away
47.1% (153)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Lazar
Backlund
P1
53.1%
51.4%
P2
52.2%
50.5%
P3
48.8%
51.4%
Final 5 min
42.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |