Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Backlund 50.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 60.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 67.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 54.6%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Lazar
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lazar
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
51.0% (1,205)
-2.3%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
59.3% (108)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
42.3% (234)
+7.7%
On power play, Backlund has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Lazar
Backlund
Home
49.2% (189)
51.2% (782)
Away
48.3% (176)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Lazar
Backlund
P1
50.8%
51.5%
P2
45.2%
49.8%
P3
50.0%
49.9%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:41 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |