Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Backlund 49.7% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 76.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 67.4%
Neutral zone
Lazar 68.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Lazar
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lazar
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
50.1% (891)
+13.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
53.1% (64)
-53.1%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
47.8% (278)
+8.5%
On power play, Backlund has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lazar is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Lazar shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Lazar
Backlund
Home
63.3% (128)
48.1% (580)
Away
59.3% (118)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Lazar
Backlund
P1
64.6%
45.1%
P2
60.5%
54.7%
P3
59.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
68.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |