Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Frost 49.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 76.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 68.8%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Lazar
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lazar
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Lazar
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
48.6% (704)
+0.1%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
55.7% (115)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
25.0% (4)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Frost is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Lazar
Frost
Home
49.2% (189)
49.9% (399)
Away
48.3% (176)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Lazar
Frost
P1
50.8%
51.2%
P2
45.2%
53.9%
P3
50.0%
42.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |