Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Frost 50.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 72.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 81.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 52.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Lazar
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Lazar
Frost
Last 10: Lazar 4-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
4
Lazar
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
4
2
Lazar
Frost
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
4
Lazar
Frost
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
49.4% (3,598)
+0.8%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
55.5% (625)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
52.8% (36)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,477).
Home / Away
Lazar
Frost
Home
50.1% (1,542)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Lazar
Frost
P1
48.9%
50.8%
P2
48.9%
51.1%
P3
49.5%
48.5%
OT
56.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |