Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.8% vs Frost 49.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 72.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 82.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 53.9%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Lazar
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Lazar
Frost
Last 10: Lazar 4-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
4
Lazar
Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
4
1
Lazar
Frost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
4
Lazar
Frost
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (2,623)
49.0% (3,418)
+0.8%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
55.0% (600)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (410)
52.8% (36)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lazar is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,244).
Lazar shoots right. Frost is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,400).
Home / Away
Lazar
Frost
Home
50.0% (1,541)
50.9% (1,943)
Away
47.6% (1,557)
49.0% (2,111)
By Period
Lazar
Frost
P1
48.4%
50.3%
P2
48.8%
51.0%
P3
49.1%
48.0%
OT
56.5%
64.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |