Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 44.7% vs Dowd 48.1% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 74.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 55.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 62.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Lazar
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lazar
Dowd
Last 5: Lazar 4-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (98)
47.2% (608)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
0.0% (3)
+0.0%
On even strength, Dowd has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lazar is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Lazar shoots right. Dowd is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Lazar
Dowd
Home
34.2% (38)
48.7% (384)
Away
42.6% (61)
46.7% (323)
By Period
Lazar
Dowd
P1
42.9%
50.2%
P2
35.5%
47.5%
P3
39.4%
46.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
39.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 06:59 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |