Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 50.8%). Lazar wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Dowd 50.7% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Lazar 78.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 61.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 57.8%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Lazar
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
55.2% (625)
-2.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
57.1% (7)
+42.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
38.2% (220)
-4.9%
On power play, Lazar has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lazar is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Lazar shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Lazar
Dowd
Home
57.1% (119)
53.7% (445)
Away
47.1% (153)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Lazar
Dowd
P1
53.1%
48.8%
P2
52.2%
49.3%
P3
48.8%
54.0%
Final 5 min
42.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%