Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.1%). Lazar wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Dowd 48.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 89.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 73.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 53.7%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Lazar
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lazar
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
49.2% (778)
-0.5%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
58.3% (12)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
44.0% (234)
+6.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lazar is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Lazar shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Lazar
Dowd
Home
49.2% (189)
46.3% (492)
Away
48.3% (176)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Lazar
Dowd
P1
50.8%
49.1%
P2
45.2%
48.2%
P3
50.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
43.9%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |