Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Dowd 49.1% (+12.4%)
Offensive zone
Lazar 66.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 53.2%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.2%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Lazar
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
51.7% (644)
+12.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
0.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
41.6% (221)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lazar is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Lazar shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Lazar
Dowd
Home
63.3% (128)
48.6% (451)
Away
59.3% (118)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Lazar
Dowd
P1
64.6%
49.1%
P2
60.5%
47.3%
P3
59.0%
51.4%
Final 5 min
68.4%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%