Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 55.9% vs Dowd 49.5% (+9.2%)
Offensive zone
Dowd 52.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 56.3%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Lazar
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
60.4% (139)
53.4% (485)
+7.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
0.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (66)
39.8% (186)
+16.3%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lazar is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Lazar shoots right. Dowd is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
Lazar
Dowd
Home
63.0% (127)
48.5% (307)
Away
51.9% (79)
50.3% (366)
By Period
Lazar
Dowd
P1
60.6%
50.7%
P2
59.7%
49.1%
P3
55.6%
49.6%
Final 5 min
67.3%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
58.7%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%