Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.3% vs Dowd 55.5% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 90.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 76.4%
Neutral zone
Lazar 72.0%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Lazar
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Lazar
Dowd
Last 8: Lazar 1-7 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
5
Lazar
Dowd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Lazar
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (272)
58.2% (617)
-8.6%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
71.4% (7)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
47.2% (144)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lazar is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Lazar shoots right. Dowd is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Lazar
Dowd
Home
47.8% (157)
58.4% (399)
Away
47.8% (178)
53.9% (369)
By Period
Lazar
Dowd
P1
41.7%
59.0%
P2
50.8%
56.1%
P3
50.0%
54.6%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
47.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 11, 2021 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 11, 2021 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 19:50 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |