Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.8% vs Stastny 55.1% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 17-9 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Lazar 71.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 86.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 76.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Lazar
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
17
(26 meetings)
9
17
Lazar
Stastny
Last 10: Lazar 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
6
Lazar
Stastny
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
4
Lazar
Stastny
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
7
Lazar
Stastny
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (2,623)
54.6% (10,616)
-4.8%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
59.1% (1,994)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (410)
52.9% (1,119)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lazar is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,244).
Lazar shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Lazar
Stastny
Home
50.0% (1,541)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
47.6% (1,557)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Lazar
Stastny
P1
48.4%
56.3%
P2
48.8%
55.4%
P3
49.1%
53.5%
OT
56.5%
62.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 1 | 18:14 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 05:00 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 18:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |