Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Stastny 55.1% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 17-9 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Lazar 70.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 85.3%
Neutral zone
Lazar 75.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Lazar
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
17
(26 meetings)
9
17
Lazar
Stastny
Last 10: Lazar 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
6
Lazar
Stastny
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
4
Lazar
Stastny
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
7
Lazar
Stastny
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
54.6% (10,616)
-4.4%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
59.1% (1,994)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
52.9% (1,119)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Lazar
Stastny
Home
50.1% (1,542)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Lazar
Stastny
P1
48.9%
56.3%
P2
48.9%
55.4%
P3
49.5%
53.5%
OT
56.5%
62.9%
Final 5 min
49.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 1 | 18:14 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 05:00 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 18:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |