Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Stastny 55.4% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 88.8%
Defensive zone
Lazar 65.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 64.9%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 88.8%
11.2%
88.8%
Lazar
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lazar
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
59.2% (370)
-7.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
40.9% (44)
-40.9%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
51.7% (58)
-13.9%
On power play, Stastny has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Lazar shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Lazar
Stastny
Home
43.5% (131)
57.7% (215)
Away
53.7% (147)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Lazar
Stastny
P1
53.8%
57.7%
P2
50.5%
54.2%
P3
41.2%
57.7%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 05:00 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |