Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Stastny 56.3% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 83.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 72.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 53.6%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Lazar
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Lazar
Stastny
Last 8: Lazar 4-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Lazar
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
57.5% (412)
-4.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
60.0% (65)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
44.4% (9)
-11.1%
On power play, Lazar has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Lazar shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Lazar
Stastny
Home
57.1% (119)
58.3% (276)
Away
47.1% (153)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Lazar
Stastny
P1
53.1%
63.7%
P2
52.2%
57.3%
P3
48.8%
50.4%
Final 5 min
42.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 1 | 18:14 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |