Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs McLeod 47.8% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 59.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 52.7%
Neutral zone
McLeod 56.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Lazar
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lazar
McLeod
Last 5: Lazar 2-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Lazar
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
49.2% (796)
+14.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
44.8% (87)
-44.8%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
43.3% (263)
+13.0%
On power play, McLeod has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lazar is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Lazar shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Lazar
McLeod
Home
63.3% (128)
49.2% (575)
Away
59.3% (118)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Lazar
McLeod
P1
64.6%
52.8%
P2
60.5%
45.1%
P3
59.0%
45.6%
Final 5 min
68.4%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |