Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.6%). Look for Lazar on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs McLeod 49.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 58.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 54.7%
Neutral zone
Lazar 53.4%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Lazar
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Lazar
McLeod
Last 10: Lazar 5-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
5
4
Lazar
McLeod
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lazar
McLeod
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Lazar
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
50.4% (3,345)
-0.2%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
51.0% (292)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
44.3% (635)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. McLeod is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,490).
Home / Away
Lazar
McLeod
Home
50.1% (1,542)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Lazar
McLeod
P1
48.9%
50.8%
P2
48.9%
48.4%
P3
49.5%
50.0%
OT
56.5%
37.1%
Final 5 min
49.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:24 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:31 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |