Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs McLeod 48.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 50.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 72.6%
Neutral zone
Lazar 55.6%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Lazar
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lazar
McLeod
Last 7: Lazar 4-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
1
Lazar
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Lazar
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
49.0% (500)
+3.9%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
43.8% (48)
+56.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
44.0% (50)
-10.7%
On power play, Lazar has a +56.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Lazar shoots right. McLeod is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Lazar
McLeod
Home
57.1% (119)
50.9% (291)
Away
47.1% (153)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Lazar
McLeod
P1
53.1%
44.3%
P2
52.2%
52.4%
P3
48.8%
47.8%
Final 5 min
42.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:31 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |