Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs McLeod 52.1% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 51.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 50.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 53.9%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Lazar
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lazar
McLeod
Last 6: Lazar 3-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Lazar
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
52.9% (904)
-1.5%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
57.6% (59)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
49.0% (241)
-1.8%
On power play, Lazar has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Lazar shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Lazar
McLeod
Home
49.7% (163)
51.8% (612)
Away
52.3% (237)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Lazar
McLeod
P1
46.9%
55.4%
P2
53.3%
50.8%
P3
53.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:24 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |