Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 69.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 68.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 52.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Lazar
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lazar
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Lazar
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
55.9% (499)
-7.2%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
56.3% (126)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
58.3% (12)
-8.3%
On power play, Stamkos has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lazar is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Lazar shoots right. Stamkos is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Lazar
Stamkos
Home
49.2% (189)
55.3% (349)
Away
48.3% (176)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Lazar
Stamkos
P1
50.8%
57.0%
P2
45.2%
59.2%
P3
50.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:02 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |