Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 79.8%
Defensive zone
Lazar 80.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 52.8%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Lazar
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
49.3% (670)
+2.1%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
53.7% (121)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
33.3% (3)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lazar is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Lazar shoots right. Stamkos is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Lazar
Stamkos
Home
49.7% (163)
54.0% (400)
Away
52.3% (237)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Lazar
Stamkos
P1
46.9%
48.6%
P2
53.3%
54.5%
P3
53.3%
45.4%
Final 5 min
52.1%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%