Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.1%). Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 49.2% vs Tavares 49.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Helm leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 73.3%
Defensive zone
Helm 65.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Helm
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Helm
Tavares
Last 10: Helm 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Helm
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
6
0
Helm
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
4
1
Helm
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (438)
48.7% (871)
-0.3%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
49.8% (243)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (80)
60.0% (15)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Helm is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Helm shoots left. Tavares is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Home / Away
Helm
Tavares
Home
47.1% (276)
50.0% (542)
Away
51.1% (272)
48.2% (587)
By Period
Helm
Tavares
P1
47.9%
52.2%
P2
52.7%
50.0%
P3
46.2%
45.1%
OT
53.8%
48.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 06:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 11:17 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 17:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Darren Helm |