Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Tavares 54.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Helm leads 23-17 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 86.8%
Defensive zone
Helm 54.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 70.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Helm
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
17
(40 meetings)
23
17
Helm
Tavares
Last 10: Helm 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
11
Helm
Tavares
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
13
4
Helm
Tavares
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
6
2
Helm
Tavares
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
54.0% (16,108)
-2.9%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
56.5% (4,283)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
50.6% (620)
-2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Helm shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Helm
Tavares
Home
51.8% (1,800)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Helm
Tavares
P1
49.5%
55.0%
P2
52.8%
54.1%
P3
49.7%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 16:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 00:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Darren Helm |