Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Helm wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 45.9% vs Tavares 59.8% (-16.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.5%
Defensive zone
Helm 78.6%
Neutral zone
Helm 50.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 84.5%
15.5%
84.5%
Helm
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Helm
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Helm
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (135)
60.9% (1,043)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (98)
47.6% (21)
-6.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Helm is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Helm shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Helm
Tavares
Home
45.7% (105)
63.5% (684)
Away
43.0% (128)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Helm
Tavares
P1
42.1%
60.3%
P2
41.0%
60.4%
P3
50.6%
60.1%
OT
0.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
40.7%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
44.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |