Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Helm wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 46.6% vs Tavares 57.7% (-16.4%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.6%
Defensive zone
Helm 70.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 66.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Helm
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (61)
57.5% (914)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
59.1% (22)
-5.3%
On even strength, Tavares has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Helm is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (50).
Helm shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Helm
Tavares
Home
35.1% (37)
61.0% (661)
Away
48.6% (37)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Helm
Tavares
P1
17.6%
58.6%
P2
40.0%
57.8%
P3
59.3%
58.4%
Final 5 min
52.9%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
41.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%