Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 51.2%). Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 51.7% vs Duchene 50.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 68.1%
Defensive zone
Helm 68.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 54.9%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Helm
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Helm
Duchene
Last 7: Helm 2-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Helm
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Helm
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Helm
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (607)
51.0% (357)
+0.4%
Power Play
42.3% (26)
53.6% (28)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (136)
50.0% (2)
+5.1%
On power play, Duchene has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Helm is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Helm shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Helm
Duchene
Home
52.8% (371)
51.0% (208)
Away
51.0% (406)
51.4% (183)
By Period
Helm
Duchene
P1
50.4%
53.3%
P2
54.7%
53.4%
P3
50.6%
44.6%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
51.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2011 | 3 | 06:14 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |