Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Duchene 54.1% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Helm leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 76.9%
Defensive zone
Helm 54.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 63.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Helm
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Helm
Duchene
Last 10: Helm 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
4
Helm
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
7
2
Helm
Duchene
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Helm
Duchene
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
53.9% (10,396)
-2.8%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
56.9% (1,665)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
49.1% (468)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Helm shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Helm
Duchene
Home
51.8% (1,800)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Helm
Duchene
P1
49.5%
54.5%
P2
52.8%
54.5%
P3
49.7%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 3, 2018 | 1 | 11:15 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 3 | 06:14 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 05:35 | Neutral | Darren Helm |