Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Helm wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 46.6% vs Duchene 52.1% (-11.0%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 79.3%
Defensive zone
Helm 84.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 55.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Helm
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (61)
53.9% (193)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
100.0% (1)
-46.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Helm is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (50).
Helm shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Helm
Duchene
Home
35.1% (37)
54.9% (113)
Away
48.6% (37)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Helm
Duchene
P1
17.6%
54.9%
P2
40.0%
52.7%
P3
59.3%
51.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
41.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%