Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Helm wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 45.9% vs Duchene 52.8% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 96.1%
Defensive zone
Helm 65.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 69.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Helm
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Helm
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
1
0
Helm
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
1
0
Helm
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (135)
46.9% (162)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (98)
100.0% (2)
-59.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +59.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Helm is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Helm shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Helm
Duchene
Home
45.7% (105)
58.4% (125)
Away
43.0% (128)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Helm
Duchene
P1
42.1%
56.9%
P2
41.0%
52.5%
P3
50.6%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
44.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |