Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Helm wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 45.9% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 65.2%
Defensive zone
Helm 68.0%
Neutral zone
Helm 55.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Helm
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Helm
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Helm
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
1
0
Helm
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (135)
56.6% (1,064)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (98)
54.0% (261)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Helm is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Helm shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Helm
O'Reilly
Home
45.7% (105)
54.9% (801)
Away
43.0% (128)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Helm
O'Reilly
P1
42.1%
58.0%
P2
41.0%
56.7%
P3
50.6%
55.4%
OT
0.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
40.7%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
44.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |