Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Helm leads 23-22 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 64.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 52.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 61.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Helm
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
22
(45 meetings)
23
22
Helm
O'Reilly
Last 10: Helm 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
10
Helm
O'Reilly
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
8
4
Helm
O'Reilly
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
10
8
Helm
O'Reilly
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
56.2% (15,260)
-5.1%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
58.8% (3,445)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
51.4% (2,811)
-3.4%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Helm shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Helm
O'Reilly
Home
51.8% (1,800)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Helm
O'Reilly
P1
49.5%
55.6%
P2
52.8%
57.0%
P3
49.7%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
50.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 08:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Darren Helm |