Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Helm wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 46.6% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-13.9%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 56.2%
Defensive zone
Helm 50.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Helm
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (61)
56.1% (690)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
45.9% (109)
+7.9%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Helm is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (50).
Helm shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Helm
O'Reilly
Home
35.1% (37)
58.3% (408)
Away
48.6% (37)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Helm
O'Reilly
P1
17.6%
57.7%
P2
40.0%
54.8%
P3
59.3%
55.2%
Final 5 min
52.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
41.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%