Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 49.5% vs Hayes 49.5% (-0.1%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 70.3%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 68.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Gustafsson
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (182)
48.5% (557)
+2.6%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
53.3% (107)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
58.3% (12)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Gustafsson is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Gustafsson shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Hayes
Home
54.2% (96)
50.8% (313)
Away
45.1% (113)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Gustafsson
Hayes
P1
58.5%
52.3%
P2
39.5%
47.7%
P3
51.5%
48.4%
Final 5 min
58.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
49.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%