Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 50.0% vs Hayes 51.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 74.9%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 75.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.7%
Result
David Gustafsson favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Gustafsson
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Gustafsson
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gustafsson
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Gustafsson
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (180)
51.6% (386)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
60.0% (20)
-26.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Gustafsson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Gustafsson shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Hayes
Home
52.9% (104)
50.5% (200)
Away
46.8% (94)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Gustafsson
Hayes
P1
57.1%
58.8%
P2
41.3%
49.3%
P3
51.4%
48.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |