David Gustafsson vs Ryan O'Reilly
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 53.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 53.1% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 70.8%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 81.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.6%
Result
David Gustafsson favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
Last 5: Gustafsson 2-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
2
0
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (174)
55.0% (1,084)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
40.3% (149)
-0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Gustafsson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Gustafsson shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
Home
51.5% (103)
54.8% (759)
Away
58.2% (91)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
P1
60.0%
55.3%
P2
58.9%
51.9%
P3
47.4%
54.2%
Final 5 min
57.9%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
54.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |