David Gustafsson vs Ryan O'Reilly
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 50.0% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 90.9%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 66.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 74.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
2
0
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
1
0
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (180)
56.2% (983)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
52.0% (102)
-18.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Gustafsson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Gustafsson shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
Home
52.9% (104)
56.2% (697)
Away
46.8% (94)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
P1
57.1%
54.5%
P2
41.3%
55.5%
P3
51.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 1 | 09:47 | Neutral | David Gustafsson |