David Gustafsson vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 51.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 70.7%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 73.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.0%
Result
David Gustafsson favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
Last 10: Gustafsson 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
4
0
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (623)
56.2% (15,260)
-3.6%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
58.8% (3,445)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
51.4% (2,811)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Gustafsson is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Gustafsson shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
Home
52.1% (363)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
50.3% (326)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Gustafsson
O'Reilly
P1
57.7%
55.6%
P2
45.8%
57.0%
P3
50.2%
55.1%
Final 5 min
54.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
51.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 1 | 09:47 | Neutral | David Gustafsson |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |