Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kampf on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 50.8% vs Larkin 55.0% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Kampf leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 91.1%
Defensive zone
Kampf 76.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 59.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Kampf
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Kampf
Larkin
Last 10: Kampf 5-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
4
Kampf
Larkin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
5
0
Kampf
Larkin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Kampf
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (610)
55.9% (943)
-2.1%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
57.4% (244)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (299)
46.2% (106)
-1.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kampf is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Kampf shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Home / Away
Kampf
Larkin
Home
47.5% (400)
56.0% (654)
Away
53.4% (522)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Kampf
Larkin
P1
57.3%
54.4%
P2
47.4%
55.9%
P3
49.3%
55.2%
OT
29.4%
64.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.9%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:06 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | David Kampf |