Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 51.0% vs Larkin 54.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 52.0%
Defensive zone
Kampf 89.0%
Neutral zone
Kampf 69.1%
Result
David Kampf favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Kampf
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Kampf
Larkin
Last 7: Kampf 1-6 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
5
Kampf
Larkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
1
0
Kampf
Larkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Kampf
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (405)
52.6% (1,117)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.7% (305)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (136)
55.9% (177)
-8.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kampf is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Kampf shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Kampf
Larkin
Home
49.8% (269)
54.7% (783)
Away
52.6% (274)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Kampf
Larkin
P1
50.5%
55.9%
P2
53.8%
56.1%
P3
48.6%
51.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.2%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 06:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | David Kampf |