Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 46 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 51.5% vs Larkin 52.7% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 59-51 in 110 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 75.1%
Defensive zone
Kampf 85.4%
Neutral zone
Kampf 58.4%
Result
David Kampf favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Kampf
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
51
-
59
(110 meetings)
51
59
Kampf
Larkin
Last 10: Kampf 5-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
39
Kampf
Larkin
46 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
28
8
Kampf
Larkin
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kampf
16
12
Kampf
Larkin
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (5,262)
51.7% (9,019)
+1.8%
Power Play
53.3% (75)
58.5% (2,125)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (1,512)
50.2% (1,122)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kampf is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (4,504).
Kampf shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Home / Away
Kampf
Larkin
Home
51.6% (3,313)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
51.4% (3,536)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Kampf
Larkin
P1
52.1%
52.7%
P2
51.3%
53.1%
P3
51.3%
52.1%
OT
46.2%
58.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 06:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |