Scouting Report
David Perron holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 49.3% vs Toffoli 45.0% (+9.1%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 58.3%
Defensive zone
Perron 50.5%
Neutral zone
Toffoli 55.6%
Result
Tyler Toffoli favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Perron
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (26)
39.0% (59)
+18.7%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
36.4% (11)
-23.9%
On power play, Toffoli has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Perron is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Perron shoots right. Toffoli is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Perron
Toffoli
Home
63.6% (22)
35.1% (37)
Away
16.7% (12)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Perron
Toffoli
P1
41.7%
46.4%
P2
45.5%
26.9%
P3
54.5%
41.2%
Final 5 min
60.0%
26.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
47.1%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
38.0%