Scouting Report
Tyler Toffoli holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Perron wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 40.5% vs Toffoli 43.0% (-2.1%)
Offensive zone
Perron 54.4%
Defensive zone
Perron 63.1%
Neutral zone
Perron 51.1%
Result
David Perron favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Perron
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
37.3% (400)
41.2% (274)
-3.9%
Power Play
44.5% (110)
45.0% (40)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
26.3% (19)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Perron has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Perron is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Perron shoots right. Toffoli is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Perron
Toffoli
Home
42.4% (271)
44.5% (155)
Away
34.7% (251)
37.6% (178)
By Period
Perron
Toffoli
P1
42.2%
47.4%
P2
34.1%
39.8%
P3
39.8%
32.9%
OT
38.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
33.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
38.7%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.8%