Scouting Report
David Perron holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 48.2% vs Toffoli 45.5% (+6.2%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 57.3%
Defensive zone
Toffoli 52.1%
Neutral zone
Perron 52.0%
Result
Tyler Toffoli favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Perron
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
22.2% (9)
25.0% (20)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Perron has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Perron is 25.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
Perron shoots right. Toffoli is 16.7% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Perron
Toffoli
Home
28.6% (7)
20.0% (10)
Away
33.3% (3)
27.3% (11)
By Period
Perron
Toffoli
P1
0.0%
80.0%
P2
40.0%
14.3%
P3
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
100.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
30.0%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
23.8%