Dawson Mercer vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 69.5%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 64.4%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 70.2%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Mercer
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mercer
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
51.8% (637)
-8.6%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
48.2% (56)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
42.9% (7)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Mercer
Kotkaniemi
Home
39.0% (82)
53.1% (339)
Away
45.8% (83)
49.9% (361)
By Period
Mercer
Kotkaniemi
P1
45.5%
48.3%
P2
44.0%
55.0%
P3
36.7%
50.4%
Final 5 min
36.6%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
42.4%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |