Dawson Mercer vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (-6.6%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 51.8%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 55.5%
Neutral zone
Mercer 52.9%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Mercer
Kotkaniemi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
51.7% (586)
-8.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
48.1% (52)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
62.5% (8)
+7.5%
On even strength, Kotkaniemi has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Mercer shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Mercer
Kotkaniemi
Home
41.7% (120)
49.5% (313)
Away
47.6% (145)
53.5% (333)
By Period
Mercer
Kotkaniemi
P1
44.6%
54.5%
P2
45.4%
51.1%
P3
45.2%
49.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
44.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.5%