Dawson Mercer vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 35.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 42.2% vs Kotkaniemi 48.7% (-8.7%)
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Mercer
Kotkaniemi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (254)
47.7% (195)
-8.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
100.0% (2)
-71.4%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
33.3% (3)
+22.3%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Mercer is 35.8% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Mercer shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Mercer
Kotkaniemi
Home
34.1% (126)
46.8% (126)
Away
43.8% (144)
50.0% (74)
By Period
Mercer
Kotkaniemi
P1
31.3%
50.0%
P2
44.0%
47.9%
P3
43.7%
45.6%
Final 5 min
35.4%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
39.3%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%